Research only — no live trading or order transmission authorized
Standalone strategyEVALUABLE NO UNKNOWN COMPONENT DAYSlive false
Asia-session breakout and flip · NQ

Asia Straddle · flip80

Asia-session first-break straddle with one immediate reversal permitted after a stop and an 80-point target.

frozensequential tradesflip80-point target
Standalone strategyPOSITIVE FROZEN VARIANT

A unique causal setup family. Its linked tracker may be newer than its frozen research evidence.

Raw evidence cutoff
2026-07-28
Raw latest row
2026-08-14
Freshness lag
10 days
Source files
14
Data
sequential_trades
Current dashboard research selection

Asia 5-MNQ ES-gated adaptive reverse

dashboard research promotedthrough 2026-08-14

This identity was explicitly promoted by human review for dashboard research display only. It is all-history-seen, separate from the canonical dashboard stream, non-executable, non-entitling, practice-disabled, and cannot transmit orders. Accounting: exact_five_MNQ_provider_print_research_accounting.

Explicit human reviewResearch display onlyExecutable: falseEntitling: falsePractice: disabledTransmit orders: false
Selection lifetime$5.6k156 known sessions
Selection last 30$1.5k9/30 green
Selection last 10$2252/10 green
Selection green calendar25.6%Flat and inactive are not green
Selection max DD-$875Daily-close basis
Selection profit factor1.68Daily gains / losses
Current selection equityflip_d10_s12_t40__mnq5_es5med_le_1_022762__adaptive_path_eff_le_0_050856_v1
$5.9k$02026-08-14
Unchanged post-cutoff monitor

This reconstructed post-cutoff monitor preserves the frozen rules and is reported separately from historical qualification metrics through 2026-08-14. The raw evidence below remains unchanged.

Monitor PnL-$8376 monitored sessions
Monitor max DD−$1.1kRunning equity peak basis
Monitor profit factor0.61Daily normalized gains / losses
Monitor positive days33.3%Latest 2026-08-14
Monitor equityprofitable_current_portfolio_forward_tracker_v2
$18.5k$02026-08-14
Older / canonical dashboard identity

Canonical registry evidence

Lifetime PnL$18.0k157 known sessions
Last 30 sessions−$1.9k7/30 green
Last 10 sessions−$2.6k2/10 green
Green calendar sessions31.2%49/157; flat and inactive are not green
Green active sessions31.2%157 active sessions
50/30/20 weighted EV-$14.09PnL/session: 50% lifetime · 30% L30 · 20% L10
Max daily-close DD−$9.1kRunning equity peak basis
Profit factor1.38Lifetime daily gains / losses

The 50/30/20 blend is descriptive, overlap-aware, and never authorizes selection or promotion. Unknown rows are excluded before session tails; recent windows are not treated as independent validation.

Raw evidence stream

Cumulative research PnL

Positive days31.2%
$22.3k−$2.2k2026-08-14
Daily-close drawdownEquity minus running peak
−$9.1k max drawdown
Rule sequence

Setup explanation

  1. 01

    Anchor to the first sequential trade print at or after 20:00 ET.

  2. 02

    Enter on the first 8-point break from the anchor.

  3. 03

    After a 10-point stop, permit at most one immediate reverse leg; target 80 points.

  4. 04

    Flatten at 23:55 ET with adverse entry/stop slippage and fixed per-leg fees included.

Governance

Authorization

READ ONLY

Research permission and trading permission are separate. A positive result never changes these controls.

Forward ShadowAuthorized
Historical ReplayAuthorized
LiveNot authorized
Paid EvaluationNot authorized
Paper Event LoggingNot authorized
PracticeNot authorized
ResearchAuthorized
Transmit OrdersNot authorized
Private research identity

Exact parameters

No fields hidden

These are the frozen parameters consumed by the exporter. Values are displayed verbatim after strict JSON normalization.

Common Execution
Adverse Entry Slippage Ticks1
Adverse Stop Slippage Ticks1
Anchorfirst_trade_print_at_or_after_20_00_ET
Flatten Et23:55:00
Point Value Usd20
Round Turn Fee Usd Per Leg4.5
Same Print Collisionstop_first
Target Fillexact_level_after_trade_through
Tick Size Points0.25
Daily Series Lineage
Accountingcanonical_1_nq_research
Canonical Identityflip_d8_s10_t80
Historical Cutoff2026-07-29
Latest Calendar Date2026-08-10
Latest Known Date2026-08-10
Overlap Validatedtrue
Post 2026 08 06 Identityflip_d10_s12_t40
Segments[historical_canonical_flip_d8_1_nq_research, exact_d8_post_cutoff_extension, current_final_portfolio_tracker_flip_d10_1nq_display]
Separate 5 Mnq Tracker Used For Dailytrue
Display NameAsia Straddle
Legacy NameConvoy flip80
Post Cutoff Extension
D10 And Gated Executablefalse
Entitlingfalse
Gate Metrics
0
Calendar Sessions150
Coverage0.52
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-2226.5
Ev Per Calendar Session Usd73.66333333333333
Ev Per Traded Session Usd141.6602564102564
Identity Idflip_d10_s12_t40__es5med_le_1_022762__td2026_08_06_ext_v1
Losing Traded Sessions36
Net Pnl Usd11049.5
Profit Factor1.5989213507507183
Scopefull_primary_through_td2026_08_06
Traded Session Win Rate0.5384615384615384
Traded Sessions78
Winning Traded Sessions42
1
Calendar Sessions141
Coverage0.5319148936170213
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-2226.5
Ev Per Calendar Session Usd72.56737588652483
Ev Per Traded Session Usd136.42666666666668
Identity Idflip_d10_s12_t40__es5med_le_1_022762__td2026_08_06_ext_v1
Losing Traded Sessions35
Net Pnl Usd10232.0
Profit Factor1.570504599944243
Scopefrozen_historical_primary_through_session_2026_07_22
Traded Session Win Rate0.5333333333333333
Traded Sessions75
Winning Traded Sessions40
2
Calendar Sessions6
Coverage0.5
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-514.0
Ev Per Calendar Session Usd136.25
Ev Per Traded Session Usd272.5
Identity Idflip_d10_s12_t40__es5med_le_1_022762__td2026_08_06_ext_v1
Losing Traded Sessions1
Net Pnl Usd817.5
Profit Factor2.590466926070039
Scopepre_freeze_bridge_primary
Traded Session Win Rate0.6666666666666666
Traded Sessions3
Winning Traded Sessions2
3
Calendar Sessions3
Coverage0.0
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd0.0
Ev Per Calendar Session Usd0.0
Ev Per Traded Session Usd0.0
Identity Idflip_d10_s12_t40__es5med_le_1_022762__td2026_08_06_ext_v1
Losing Traded Sessions0
Net Pnl Usd0.0
Profit Factor
Scopepost_freeze_primary_td2026_08_03_to_2026_08_06
Traded Session Win Rate0.0
Traded Sessions0
Winning Traded Sessions0
4
Calendar Sessions4
Coverage0.0
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd0.0
Ev Per Calendar Session Usd0.0
Ev Per Traded Session Usd0.0
Identity Idflip_d10_s12_t40__es5med_le_1_022762__td2026_08_06_ext_v1
Losing Traded Sessions0
Net Pnl Usd0.0
Profit Factor
Scopepost_freeze_all_acquired_including_degraded_td2026_08_06
Traded Session Win Rate0.0
Traded Sessions0
Winning Traded Sessions0
Historical Qualification Metrics Rerunfalse
Identity Metrics
0
Config Idflip_d8_s10_t80
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-9145.5
Distance Points8.0
Ev Per Session Usd128.32333333333332
Flat Sessions0
Flatten Legs9
Legs267
Losing Sessions103
Net Pnl Usd19248.5
Profit Factor1.429922719556866
Scopefull_primary_through_td2026_08_06
Session Win Rate0.31333333333333335
Sessions150
Stop Points10.0
Stopped Legs220
Target Legs38
Target Points80.0
Winning Sessions47
1
Config Idflip_d8_s10_t80
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-8600.0
Distance Points8.0
Ev Per Session Usd146.2741935483871
Flat Sessions0
Flatten Legs10
Legs275
Losing Sessions105
Net Pnl Usd22672.5
Profit Factor1.496496222489872
Scopefull_all_acquired_through_td2026_08_06
Session Win Rate0.3225806451612903
Sessions155
Stop Points10.0
Stopped Legs225
Target Legs40
Target Points80.0
Winning Sessions50
2
Config Idflip_d8_s10_t80
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-2195.0
Distance Points8.0
Ev Per Session Usd-439.0
Flat Sessions0
Flatten Legs0
Legs10
Losing Sessions5
Net Pnl Usd-2195.0
Profit Factor0.0
Scopeextension_primary_td2026_07_30_to_2026_08_06
Session Win Rate0.0
Sessions5
Stop Points10.0
Stopped Legs10
Target Legs0
Target Points80.0
Winning Sessions0
3
Config Idflip_d8_s10_t80
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-2649.0
Distance Points8.0
Ev Per Session Usd-441.5
Flat Sessions0
Flatten Legs0
Legs12
Losing Sessions6
Net Pnl Usd-2649.0
Profit Factor0.0
Scopeextension_all_acquired_td2026_07_30_to_2026_08_06
Session Win Rate0.0
Sessions6
Stop Points10.0
Stopped Legs12
Target Legs0
Target Points80.0
Winning Sessions0
4
Config Idflip_d8_s10_t80
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-3078.0
Distance Points8.0
Ev Per Session Usd19.34
Flat Sessions0
Flatten Legs0
Legs47
Losing Sessions19
Net Pnl Usd483.5
Profit Factor1.0573819131260385
Scopeq3_primary_through_td2026_08_06
Session Win Rate0.24
Sessions25
Stop Points10.0
Stopped Legs41
Target Legs6
Target Points80.0
Winning Sessions6
5
Config Idflip_d10_s12_t40
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-9683.5
Distance Points10.0
Ev Per Session Usd95.07333333333334
Flat Sessions0
Flatten Legs1
Legs252
Losing Sessions74
Net Pnl Usd14261.0
Profit Factor1.3743929012102596
Scopefull_primary_through_td2026_08_06
Session Win Rate0.5066666666666667
Sessions150
Stop Points12.0
Stopped Legs176
Target Legs75
Target Points40.0
Winning Sessions76
6
Config Idflip_d10_s12_t40
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-8386.5
Distance Points10.0
Ev Per Session Usd99.03225806451613
Flat Sessions0
Flatten Legs1
Legs260
Losing Sessions76
Net Pnl Usd15350.0
Profit Factor1.3922420401696733
Scopefull_all_acquired_through_td2026_08_06
Session Win Rate0.5096774193548387
Sessions155
Stop Points12.0
Stopped Legs181
Target Legs78
Target Points40.0
Winning Sessions79
7
Config Idflip_d10_s12_t40
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-1018.0
Distance Points10.0
Ev Per Session Usd-49.1
Flat Sessions0
Flatten Legs0
Legs9
Losing Sessions3
Net Pnl Usd-245.5
Profit Factor0.8448166877370418
Scopeextension_primary_td2026_07_30_to_2026_08_06
Session Win Rate0.4
Sessions5
Stop Points12.0
Stopped Legs7
Target Legs2
Target Points40.0
Winning Sessions2
8
Config Idflip_d10_s12_t40
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-1537.0
Distance Points10.0
Ev Per Session Usd-127.41666666666667
Flat Sessions0
Flatten Legs0
Legs11
Losing Sessions4
Net Pnl Usd-764.5
Profit Factor0.6361256544502618
Scopeextension_all_acquired_td2026_07_30_to_2026_08_06
Session Win Rate0.3333333333333333
Sessions6
Stop Points12.0
Stopped Legs9
Target Legs2
Target Points40.0
Winning Sessions2
9
Config Idflip_d10_s12_t40
Daily Close Max Drawdown Usd-1093.0
Distance Points10.0
Ev Per Session Usd161.02
Flat Sessions0
Flatten Legs0
Legs41
Losing Sessions11
Net Pnl Usd4025.5
Profit Factor1.6953705303161168
Scopeq3_primary_through_td2026_08_06
Session Win Rate0.56
Sessions25
Stop Points12.0
Stopped Legs27
Target Legs14
Target Points40.0
Winning Sessions14
Manifest
Artifact Version1
Artifacts
Daily Results.Csv
Bytes80,929
Sha2568775ad4a62304355c93358323ed6dadac851dc2ef232fbfbc7f3f2e5dfcc3328
Forward Shadow Parity.Csv
Bytes345
Sha2561c8aa2a1104ab7954f2a2e7d24d9cec137084588da0593cb4fea24e92895eb32
Gate Decisions.Csv
Bytes35,670
Sha256edc03538ec7474fd4ab6c90c4dcaa52eb139d6055b8b8b34a64bc6e4076a446b
Gate Metrics.Csv
Bytes1,119
Sha25645138e1e209e34e3d6a6d406242ce7793d1da42e4406676004964eb3f9ab48fe
Identities.Json
Bytes963
Sha25693721a731d3462583428c06364090d52bf566207305815ea094ecf1e8ad0d578
Identity Metrics.Csv
Bytes1,729
Sha2566eb587f0cf8d1bdf368ba81f4981934cb49701bdbe1d98ccefeba85453a09a33
Leg Results.Csv
Bytes169,582
Sha2568437af83103abdcfe4e8170b6dcbced59e019fc9a457c5d39b9336088f18d571
Overlap Parity.Csv
Bytes124
Sha25631c266c002867f244f90c1ccbef0de47b9b4dfed63e122463c21883378270b24
Provider Quality.Csv
Bytes5,551
Sha256b0c3f2aa2d3cbd97aa52e962559bd2f9361feb000cd278d02ba4c2d928634ade
Report.Md
Bytes3,372
Sha256581825ddc7351cc02089774756549ec5247791a197ffbe9f70e0f94a21615a7a
D10 Executablefalse
Entitlement Createdfalse
Frozen Gate Reselectedfalse
Gated D10 Executablefalse
Immutable Outputtrue
Parameter Retuningfalse
Period End Session Date2026-08-05
Shared Configs Or Handoffs Modifiedfalse
Source Hashes
Data/Reacquisition/Convoy Exact Asia Extension Td2026 08 06 V1/Estimate/Cost Estimate.Jsone2c6198840e5c572def2c1c90b8e251864ffa108a3cc129de61c72ac1b1e65c4
Data/Reacquisition/Convoy Exact Asia Extension Td2026 08 06 V1/Fetch/Source Acquisition Manifest.Json18dcaaac97f079506f1b764e39fa334a9af582de6447654178874b107214f9bc
Data/Results/Analysis/Convoy 2026 Winrate Regimes/Daily Results.Csv20d1ede67b5b01df9665c7d10ed7583908ec51eebee5c407ef1d940ccc98c177
Data/Results/Analysis/Convoy Causal Pre Session Regime/Causal Features.Csv75ea81323d3aa44208abfb0d6c3635fb4084eca74b3d8429d9568e2543ab8dc6
Data/Results/Analysis/Convoy Causal Pre Session Regime/Rule Matrix.Csva293c9d5ebdec1fef8e3b868d36d2153428aba3f9daa221aea440ebcac6ea6bc
Docs/Convoy Exact Asia Extension Td2026 08 06 V1.Md1fb31e39fd60e2a0517b269b3ca713caf00831d9db9e6ecec72550e072612c1a
Scripts/Analyze Convoy 2026 Robustness.Py8a7a4c0cb9588eb219a68296ce95d557a03044d0013225733edc776f0e5543fd
Scripts/Analyze Convoy Exact Asia Extension Td2026 08 06.Pyd04b017f8c1c4fa1e378057c133492d0d72883717f8874f25d4f57cc0b8b45eb
Scripts/Convoy Tick Engine.Pya4ad730e2269e5fb40fe39de88799b589ec00ebb8c74f0b8cacb2688f5a12aae
Study Idconvoy_exact_asia_extension_td2026_08_06_v1
Trading Day End2026-08-06
Transmit Ordersfalse
Variant
Entry Distance Points8
Maximum Reverse Legs1
Modefirst_break_then_maximum_one_immediate_reverse_after_stop
StatusPOSITIVE_FROZEN_VARIANT
Stop Points10
Target Points80
Interpretation limits

Caveats

  • The three legacy Convoy/Asia Straddle variants are dependent expressions of the same edge.
  • The registry primary leader is ladder80; flip80 is intentionally shown as the requested positive frozen variant.
SHA-256 provenance

Source hashes

configs/dashboard_strategy_bot_handoffs.yaml04e3954b…fba98c
configs/frozen_nq_mixed_sizing_forward_shadow.yamlcb3794b1…6c7eef
configs/frozen_profitable_strategy_registry.yaml92f2df12…5776f7
data/results/analysis/convoy_2026_robustness/daily.csv68cd393c…5b6ab1
data/results/analysis/convoy_2026_robustness/manifest.json9ac07ff1…db7d0d
data/results/analysis/convoy_exact_asia_extension_td2026_08_06_v1/daily_results.csv8775ad4a…cc3328
data/results/analysis/convoy_exact_asia_extension_td2026_08_06_v1/gate_metrics.csv45138e1e…ab48fe
data/results/analysis/convoy_exact_asia_extension_td2026_08_06_v1/identity_metrics.csv6eb587f0…a09a33
data/results/analysis/convoy_exact_asia_extension_td2026_08_06_v1/manifest.json42b510c2…6120ca
data/results/analysis/convoy_exact_asia_extension_td2026_08_06_v1/provider_quality.csvb0c3f2aa…634ade
data/results/analysis/convoy_mnq5_regime_stack_v1/daily_results.csv24ef94d1…ad3000
data/results/analysis/frozen_nq_mixed_sizing_forward_shadow/component_results.csvd14d100c…02ab39
data/results/analysis/frozen_nq_mixed_sizing_forward_shadow/manifest.json2e92a23f…de4cad
data/results/analysis/regular_strategy_selected_extension_td2026_08_14_v1/asia_daily.csvbeebda7d…dec8e1