Powell · current severe
Current-regime causal fib-pocket limit branch under the severe $26.50 round-turn execution scenario.
A unique causal setup family. Its linked tracker may be newer than its frozen research evidence.
- Raw evidence cutoff
- 2026-07-24
- Raw latest row
- 2026-08-14
- Freshness lag
- 10 days
- Source files
- 23
- Data
- OHLCV_1_minute
Powell unchanged current-severe
This identity was explicitly promoted by human review for dashboard research display only. It is all-history-seen, separate from the canonical dashboard stream, non-executable, non-entitling, practice-disabled, and cannot transmit orders. Accounting: frozen_severe_NQ_research_accounting.
Powell adaptive structural limit X48/A50 shadow
This all-history-seen diagnostic is shown separately from the promoted research selection. It supports review only: it is not a strategy or portfolio promotion, is non-executable and non-entitling, has no practice authorization, and cannot transmit orders. Accounting: uniform_392_session_actual_fee_4_USD_one_NQ_research_sensitivity.
This reconstructed post-cutoff monitor preserves the frozen rules and is reported separately from historical qualification metrics through 2026-08-14. The raw evidence below remains unchanged.
Canonical registry evidence
The 50/30/20 blend is descriptive, overlap-aware, and never authorizes selection or promotion. Unknown rows are excluded before session tails; recent windows are not treated as independent validation.
Cumulative research PnL
Setup explanation
- 01
Evaluate 22:00 and 10:00 ET key-open anchors with a frozen multi-timeframe directional side.
- 02
Require an opposite wick before expansion and a directional three-bar FVG after the wick.
- 03
Place the entry at the proximal executable tick in the causal 0.618–0.790 fib pocket; FVG overlap is not required.
- 04
Use a 24-point stop, 96-point target, 36-point next-bar breakeven trigger, and stop-first collisions.
Exact parameters
These are the frozen parameters consumed by the exporter. Values are displayed verbatim after strict JSON normalization.
Caveats
- Current-regime evidence is not untouched chronology.
- The active profitable branch uses 22:00 and 10:00 key opens; the separately tested direct midnight-open retest branch was falsified and is excluded.
- One-minute OHLCV cannot recover exact intrabar ordering; collisions are conservatively stop-first.
- V3 and V6 share detector ancestry: parallel accounts add the V3 P&L but daily correlation is 0.56; shared first-fill capacity adds only $68.50 versus V6.
Source hashes
configs/dashboard_strategy_bot_handoffs.yaml04e3954b…fba98cconfigs/frozen_nq_mixed_sizing_forward_shadow.yamlcb3794b1…6c7eefconfigs/frozen_profitable_strategy_registry.yaml92f2df12…5776f7configs/powell_dual_branch_shadow.yamlc31567ad…119cf0data/results/analysis/frozen_nq_mixed_sizing_forward_shadow/component_results.csvd14d100c…02ab39data/results/analysis/frozen_nq_mixed_sizing_forward_shadow/manifest.json2e92a23f…de4caddata/results/analysis/ict_key_open_decoupled_entry_v6/daily_observations.csv5001c7b6…57e00ddata/results/analysis/ict_key_open_decoupled_entry_v6/trades.csv78c6d0f0…3254cadata/results/analysis/powell_current_severe_fvg_confirm_pocket_limit_current_regime_v1_extension_through_2026-08-06_v1/anchor_states.csve2290e23…ac9ceddata/results/analysis/powell_current_severe_fvg_confirm_pocket_limit_current_regime_v1_extension_through_2026-08-06_v1/daily.csva3120e73…b7d3d5data/results/analysis/powell_current_severe_fvg_confirm_pocket_limit_current_regime_v1_extension_through_2026-08-06_v1/data_quality.csvf693d762…a9788adata/results/analysis/powell_current_severe_fvg_confirm_pocket_limit_current_regime_v1_extension_through_2026-08-06_v1/manifest.jsonfcd0e874…2fee0fdata/results/analysis/powell_current_severe_fvg_confirm_pocket_limit_current_regime_v1_extension_through_2026-08-06_v1/metrics.csvf8d12651…9a736fdata/results/analysis/powell_dual_branch_shadow_v1/correlation.csvd19687f3…0b9013data/results/analysis/powell_dual_branch_shadow_v1/incremental_metrics.csvd26610b8…aec811data/results/analysis/powell_dual_branch_shadow_v1/manifest.jsoneab937d9…65642ddata/results/analysis/powell_dual_branch_shadow_v1/policy_metrics.csv164e8b4a…2511d9data/results/analysis/powell_dual_branch_shadow_v1/report.md1e07df74…29fa85data/results/analysis/powell_long_t60_actual_fee_adaptive_structural_limit_v1/manifest.jsondb84f7dc…745ba9data/results/analysis/powell_long_t60_actual_fee_adaptive_structural_limit_v1/policy_daily.csvff49ddb2…943642data/results/analysis/powell_long_t60_actual_fee_adaptive_structural_limit_v1/policy_metrics.csvc42ca6ef…dc3bbbdata/results/analysis/regular_strategy_selected_extension_td2026_08_14_v1/powell_daily.csvaa895d7c…b87430scripts/analyze_powell_dual_branch_shadow.py847a6ae9…c92f22